Results Tracker

Current Totals

Measure	Total
Actual trades placed	4
Actual winning trades	3
Actual losing trades	0
Actual scratch / no-loss trades	1
Actual profit	+2.15 pts
Review-only winners	3
Correct no-trades	2
Pending games	3
Current real bank result	+2.15 pts

Bank Position

Measure	Total
Starting bank	£2,000
1 point value	£20
Current profit	+2.15 pts
Current profit in £	+£43
Current bank	£2,043

Game Results

Match	Status	Actual Trade / Review Trade	Entry Point	Result	Points / Outcome	Key Learning
Germany 7-1 Curaçao	Actual Trade	Over 2.5 Goals HT	32’ at 1-1	✅ Won	+0.80 pts	Germany pressure was real after Curaçao equalised. O2.5 FT was too short, but O2.5 HT at 1.80 gave the better value angle. Future learning: consider a controlled second-half re-entry rule when a favourite keeps pressing.
Australia 2-0 Turkey	Look-back Review / No Trade Window	Would have backed Over 1.5 Goals once game opened	55’–65’ at 1-0	✅ Framework angle landed	Review only	Correct not to chase early Turkey possession. The trade only became valid after Australia scored and Turkey’s chase became real.
Haiti 0-1 Scotland	Look-back Review / No Trade Window	No trade	N/A	✅ Correct no-trade	Review only	Shot volume alone was not enough. Haiti had 15 shots, but only 2 on target. Correct to avoid chasing after Scotland’s goal.
Brazil 1-1 Morocco	Actual Trade	Trade 5 — Brazil 2-1 / Morocco 1-2	Pre-kick-off	⚖️ Scratch / no loss	0.00 pts	Trade 5 structure was correct and became very live at 1-1. Good management removed red around 60’–70’.
Qatar 1-1 Switzerland	Actual Trade	Over 1.5 Goals FT	79’ at 0-1	✅ Won	+0.50 pts	Correct to avoid O1.5 at 1.21 and wait until price reached 2.00 with fresh pressure.
USA 4-1 Paraguay	Look-back Review	Would have backed Over 3.5 Goals / one-more-goal angle	40’ at 2-0	✅ Trade would have won / greened	Review only	Framework showed the value before half-time. In real time I probably would have waited, but that would have missed the best price.
Canada 1-1 Bosnia	Actual Trade	Over 2.5 Goals	67’ at 0-1	✅ Greened after equaliser	+0.85 pts	Correct to wait. Entry only became playable once big chances moved to 2-2 and Canada pressure was sustained.
South Korea 2-1 Czech Republic	Look-back Review	Would have traded after 1-1	Around 70’–75’ at 1-1	✅ Trade would have landed	Review only	Best signal came after the equaliser. Korea already had the pressure profile, and the 1-1 game state opened the late goal angle.
Mexico 2-0 South Africa	Reviewed Live	No trade	N/A	✅ Correct no-trade	0.00 pts	Early goal and red cards did not create a true overs game. Mexico controlled it, but South Africa offered very little.

Running Actual Profit

Match	Actual Points
Canada v Bosnia	+0.85 pts
Qatar v Switzerland	+0.50 pts
Brazil v Morocco	0.00 pts
Germany v Curaçao	+0.80 pts
Mexico v South Africa	0.00 pts
Total Actual Profit	+2.15 pts

Notes

The tracker only counts real placed trades in the actual profit total.

Review-only games are logged separately because they help test the framework, but they do not affect the bank.

Pre Tournament Winner Bets

Below are the pre tournament bets I made along with latest odds

Rank	Date	Team	Pre-tournament bet odds	13/06/2026	Points	Main reason
1	13 Jun 2026	England	8.8	9.4	1.50 pts	Best overall trading profile: good route, huge liquidity, media hype, and likely shortening if they start well
2	13 Jun 2026	Portugal	10.0	9.6	1.25 pts	Strong upside contender; could shorten quickly if they win the group or beat Colombia
3	13 Jun 2026	France	6.4	5.7	1.00 pt	Best actual winner profile; safer to leave running, but less explosive as a trade
4	13 Jun 2026	Argentina	11.0	12.0	0.65 pts	Good trade/hold hybrid; strong tournament mentality and suited to warm conditions
5	13 Jun 2026	Netherlands	23.0	21.0	0.40 pts	Best bigger-price trade; could move well if they top the group, but group is awkward
6	13 Jun 2026	Morocco	70.0	65.0	0.20 pts	Tiny fun outsider; heat-suited and price could crash if they get a result against Brazil